Jump to content

enrique

Squawkers
  • Posts

    786
  • Joined

  • Last visited

  • Days Won

    3

Everything posted by enrique

  1. And that my man is why plus/minus is worthless. At least do on/off and compare to team overall. You will find Trae stand extremely tall.
  2. On my "Others" Action=The Punisher (Marvel) and Pennyworth Cartoon=Johnny Quest Comedy=Seinfeld & The Office Serious=Breaking Bad Special Category=The Punisher (Marvel) and Daredevil (Marvel)
  3. It's really anyone who presses their standards onto everyone around them. There are guys who push their political views, religious views, recreational drug views, etc. onto everyone else without regard for how others may think or feel about the situation. The only segment that tends to get called out will be the more religious extremist views. But it will create locker room issues if it is a deeply felt conviction that is thrown about regularly.
  4. Sorry for leaving a like and then deleting it. Totally misread your response. So you don't care about Siakim signing with us long term? For me, that is the limit to any trade I'd send north for him. No way would I part with young talent for a one-season-hope-he-signs-lonterm situation. The minute difference you have between 1 &2 situation is definitely baffling to me.
  5. A great article on Trae A shocking assessment of how Trae has been overlooked and underrated. Surprised to find an article like this anywhere. It seems whatever Trae does, the NBA has to change their metrics to explain why he isn’t good enough for the respect and honor due!!!
  6. Stockton and Malone were on another plane. Stockton averaged over 1100 assists a year for 5 years in a row. He also busted 1000 a few more time. All in all his assists dwarf anyone else’s we will find. Trae has had an amazing (and increasingly efficient) assist rate. Just nowhere near the greatest set-up artist in history…Stockton.
  7. Okay, took one more glance at passes per game (team) to see what it looked like over the past three years. Interestingly it isn't all bad at all. You can view the data at NBA.com. Click on "Stats" and "Teams." Then click from "General" to "Tracking" in the drop down. Next click the last drop down "Drives" and select "Passing." You can then sort by passes per game. Pretty simple stuff. The conclusions on this kind of statistical gnat straining is: 1) There is little correlation between passes per game and success. 2) The past few seasons have seen the best offenses have lower pass totals. 3) Basketball is not a monolithic system. It is a variety of systems that are designed to maximize the strengths of a roster while minimizing any deficiencies. For this reason, these kind of statistical observations should not be used to make a point. Rather they should be used to gain a better perspective on the overall offense or defense a team may be employing. I promise I am done with looking up stats on this arena. Hope the Hawks come out with a weekend sweep of our beloved Sixers
  8. I agree wholeheartedly with your assessment. If we don't get our perimeter shooting moving above 35% we will find little to no space for any kind of penetration. That will not go well:(
  9. To put this in context, Atlanta also has 5 of the top-50 assist combos in the league. Other than Phoenix (with 4), most teams have only 1 or 2. Currently Trae is on a historic assist per pass over 25%. Of the top-3 players in the NBA, Trae is #1 (was #2 last year and the year before behind Chris Paul) and DJM is #3. So although we aren't passing the ball as much as other teams, our passes are accomplishing more. And if you consider the truly awful 3pt % of our team, we could be doing so much better. Would we all like to see more ball movement? Yes...but not movement for movement sake. Movement for scoring sake.
  10. Spud! Yes, I am (and have been) very, very busy with work and family... I scroll over here when I am able, but not nearly the amount of time I used to. Still love the Hawks and challenge the Traeters whenever they raise their heads:) Really hoping we can take a step forward this year...
  11. I've been hyped before and let down...so as much as I loved what I saw vs Bucks in preseason, I will go 48 wins. We will make noise in the playoffs.
  12. In reality, he has been our worst on/off starter for every year (other than Cam). He has great promise, but hasn't really shown consistency. I hope he bets on himself this year and delivers! If he does, we are going deep in the playoffs. We can't loose that way.
  13. Just wanted to congratulate Trae for taking sole possession of second place in NBA history for players with 25/9 seasons. Oscar may be untouchable at 8, but our boy Trae just put up his most efficient season ever and now has 3 25/9 seasons in a row. Just passed Lebron and Tiny Archibald. Big props for Trae. He probably doesn't even know that...focusing on winning the ring!
  14. Haha!!! I don't know your reputation. But when you are making several points and trying to connect the dots in a logical flow, you could have rambled on for several more paragraphs. So I think your argument was concise...it was just thorough too. And thoroughness doesn't mean brevity. But thoroughness can be concise. You were concise:)
  15. I agree with your take on the "Real Hawks" vs "Gumbo Hawks" (great image)...I think a more fair assessment would be to use the actual season (2021-22) and not conflate the hybrid coaching of Pierce/McM. I think McM got more out of the team than Pierce, but in his season implementing his own offense and defense we really did not take a step forward. The "Real Hawks" record for 2021-22 that you have mentioned is around .617 (5th best in the East and 9th best in the NBA). Now I haven't compared this with "Real Mavericks" or "Real...", but it is a really solid display of the team's potential. My bigger concern was the overwhelming lack of development from all players not named Trae last season. I have tried to see any patterns or find a reason but at this point, no success. But I think we all get our "gut reaction" to that horrific patch of games that put us in purgatory by the All-Star game. I am still happy we made the playoffs via the play-in. Our awful showing (sans healthy Capella and Collins) revealed huge deficiencies among both our game plan as well as our execution. I believe the addition of Murray will actually make us geometrically harder to contain on offense. The coaching, however, concerns me as does our player development.
  16. Wow, I can't like this enough! Thanks. I am rarely on the Squawk due to job, family, and other items. I still love the Hawks and all, but miss this community. It is interesting that last season we had the most Winshare games lost to injury of any other team in the NBA. I will see if I can pull that stat for this season (can't remember where that data was available...always book mark and download the data). It would help quantify a bit, it just takes a long, long time to compile in a spreadsheet to actually quantify what the rest of the league dealt with compared to our Hawks. Regardless, your thinking is clear and your language concise. You are on point!!! So thanks!!!
  17. Looks like I have my reading list cut out for me ! And I noticed someone said that EPM doesn't include Defense. It absolutely does bring defense into the mix. It is why Trae drops precipitously from near the top of the ratings to just outside the top-10. Again, it isn't perfect (none of the catch all do), but it is the best we have at predicting outcomes for games over the past decade.
  18. Here is a bit on all the advanced metrics and where they shine and where they don't. https://hoopshype.com/lists/advanced-stats-nba-real-plus-minus-rapm-win-shares-analytics/
  19. EPM is the most accurate predictive advanced metric we have. It isn't flawless, but pretty solid for a catch-all advanced metric. If you look at the playoff series and outcomes, the teams with the better EPM among the rotation tended to win. Exceptions are teams where you have a beast (Giannis) and injuries remove a key piece of the equation. I wish there was a way to filter out some of the "noise" from the COVID games. I know most teams dealt with it as well, so honestly I have tended to disregard its impact on the Hawks..."all the other teams dealt with it too." I am not saying that this is, in fact, the reality. But I was letting you know why I didn't concern myself when comparing teams overall depth last year. I do know that if our younger players developed and stepped up, we would have had an amazing season. Trae's improvements were beyond my hopes. Most of the other players really didn't take big steps up (or some even took a slight step back). I don't have an answer for that other than it is obvious that the Warrior's player development system is lightyears better than most any organizations.
  20. If you do a quick comparison on dunksandthrees EPM and compare our roster to GSW, Memphis, Bucks, Boston, etc. you will see the glaring lack of quality depth we had. We only had 5 players above 0 on EPM. All those others had 8-10 players. Hard to compete when your depth is not at the quality of the competition.
  21. Agree. But apparently we are not in ownership
  22. Until we get a coach that can create a system to maximize our players' talents and abilities while minimizing their weaknesses along with a player development coach to get the most from our young players, we will not be anywhere near the Warrior's.
  23. Rumor is there are several HS players that are freakishly good at guard coming through the draft over the next few years. They are going complete rebuild and an almost 26 year old late blooming guard is not on that timeline. I am sure the Spurs knew Murray would be miserable in lotto land for a few years. I respect their haul from Murray and allowing him to go to a future contender.
×
×
  • Create New...