Official Bets Thread

[AHF]

Big props to @NBASupes for following through on our bet.  And while he doesn’t look “Trae on opening good,” he is looking pretty strong.

[JayBirdHawk]

1 minute ago, AHF said:

Big props to @NBASupes for following through on our bet.  And while he doesn’t look “Trae on opening good,” he is looking pretty strong.

I love it. The Mailman.

[AHF]

13 minutes ago, JayBirdHawk said:

I love it. The Mailman.

Did you see Al in there too?  @JayBirdHawk

[JayBirdHawk]

14 minutes ago, AHF said:

Did you see Al in there too?  @JayBirdHawk

I had a 2nd look awhile ago.....it's glorious .

@NBASupes is a good sport. 

[AHF]

Just now, JayBirdHawk said:

 

@NBASupes is a good sport. 

Yes he is.

[JayBirdHawk]

@AHF Was there an official bet with @Buzzard regarding Capela shooting a 3 within the 1st few games?

[AHF]

7 minutes ago, JayBirdHawk said:

@AHF Was there an official bet with @Buzzard regarding Capela shooting a 3 within the 1st few games?

If I recall correctly, they couldn't agree on terms, particularly with concern around sample size / accounting for end of shotclock shots, etc.

[Buzzard]

7 hours ago, JayBirdHawk said:

@AHF Was there an official bet with @Buzzard regarding Capela shooting a 3 within the 1st few games?

I think I wanted  20 games with no outs. Some other things Supes wanted added in. Long story short, we never agreed.

[JayBirdHawk]

On 1/2/2021 at 10:01 AM, JayBirdHawk said:

@AHF Was there an official bet with @Buzzard regarding Capela shooting a 3 within the 1st few games?

 

On 1/2/2021 at 10:09 AM, AHF said:

If I recall correctly, they couldn't agree on terms, particularly with concern around sample size / accounting for end of shotclock shots, etc.

 

On 1/2/2021 at 5:33 PM, Buzzard said:

I think I wanted  20 games with no outs. Some other things Supes wanted added in. Long story short, we never agreed.

@Buzzard  would have lost this bet to @NBASupes.  After tonight we will be 18 games in and a Capela 3 is not in LP's playbook.

[macdaddy]

1 minute ago, JayBirdHawk said:

 

 

@Buzzard  would have lost this bet to @NBASupes.  After tonight we will be 18 games in and a Capela 3 is not in LP's playbook.

I thought there wasn't a playbook?

[Buzzard]

9 hours ago, JayBirdHawk said:

 

 

@Buzzard  would have lost this bet to @NBASupes.  After tonight we will be 18 games in and a Capela 3 is not in LP's playbook.

I wanted a uncomplicated bet. Capela takes a three in 20 games, I win. He doesn't, Supes wins. Supes was scared and wanted to add a shot clock disclaimer. 

Scared money can't win any money.

[Spud2nique]

On 6/26/2018 at 11:00 AM, AHF said:

spud / benhillboy - Will the Hawks make the playoffs in 2020-21? -  Winner:  ?? (avatar bet)

Oh good god... ummm yea I may have to leave the country.. soon

[AHF]

Zion Bet added to the thread:

1 hour ago, AHF said:

Let me see if I summarize it correctly, @TheNorthCydeRises:

Bet for the 2021-22 Season:

Conditions

• Bet is off if both Lonzo Ball and Eric Bledsoe are on the NOP roster for more than 20 games.  If either is gone or plays less than than 20 games there, it is on.  
• Bet is off if Zion doesn't play 25 games.

Bet

If Zion averages 7 apg or more, Northcyde picks AHF's avatar for 3 consecutive months (Northcyde picks when this starts - anytime in 2022).

If Zion averages less than 7 apg, AHF picks Northcyde's avatar for 1 month (AHF picks when this starts - anytime in 2022).

 

15 minutes ago, TheNorthCydeRises said:

 

This will work.

 

[Spud2nique]

On 7/1/2020 at 3:09 PM, AHF said:

@Spud2nique vs @benhillboy for all the marbles

It's on.

I’m salivating ...

[AHF]

@sturt

We need to settle up our bet from last year!

On 3/21/2020 at 2:40 PM, AHF said:

That caveat brings you to my side of the table.  I can 100% guarantee there will be people who get max or near max contracts this offseason.  However, there aren’t no brainers so I don’t know that TS will judge any of them worthy of the offer.  So he may not have “sign a max player” on his agenda for this offseason if he doesn’t value them at that level.

(As an aside on Drummond, it was heavily reported he is expected to opt out.  The season being shut down could affect that but it was widely reported when we were in discussions about trading for him.)

 

On 3/21/2020 at 3:05 PM, sturt said:

Whoa. That one might be bet-worthy. You want to think about that one and get back to me? Because there is only AD who is guarantee-worthy, and he may or may not choose that it's in his best interest to opt into free agency this time. And, because this may end-up being the most buyers-market July ever, given how few teams project at this point to have cap space... driving prices down, not up.

 

On 3/21/2020 at 10:25 PM, AHF said:

Yep.  Let’s bet now.

I win if a player other than AD gets a max or near max contract.

You win if AD is the only one who gets one.

Winner picks the others avatar for a month.

 

On 3/21/2020 at 10:32 PM, sturt said:

I've been wanting to use this GIF for so long, and finally the opportunity arises...

 

 

 

Okay, so we do have do define "near max," though. What would you propose? Max is max, of course... max in years 1-4 or 1-5, including max raises, right? So, what percentage of the max that a given player is eligible to get has to be gotten in order to qualify?

 

 

On 3/23/2020 at 5:41 PM, AHF said:

Obviously, numbers can change but that bottom graph looks like the right methodology.  So for a junior person, you are talking a salary next year of at least $25,156,250 based on a $108,426,582 cap (as cap number changes so does the 87.5% of max).  With more years of service, guys move into the ~$30M or ~$35M number (as precisely calculated from the cap).  If for any reason next season is on a reduced schedule, then you pro-rate it to an 82 game full year salary.

AHF wins if a player other than AD gets a max or near max contract.

Sturt wins if AD is the only one who gets one or no one (including AD) gets one.

Winner picks the other's avatar for a month.

Next year's salary needs to be at or above that 87.5% number to qualify as a near max contract.

 

Work?

 

On 3/23/2020 at 5:54 PM, sturt said:

Right. After July 1 (presumably), the exact numbers will come out. But the above is based on 8% and 5% raises each year on top of our best projections right now for each of the three categories.

 

 

On 3/24/2020 at 8:50 AM, AHF said:

Will add it  to the list of bets then.

And then: 

So it looks like it did turn out to be taking candy from a baby after all!

Does doing the new avatar for the month of April work for you?

[sturt]

see your PMs

[Spud2nique]

32 minutes ago, AHF said:

@sturt

We need to settle up our bet from last year!

 

 

 

 

 

 

And then: 

So it looks like it did turn out to be taking candy from a baby after all!

Does doing the new avatar for the month of April work for you?

What r you gonna make him? Thingram only thinner?

[AHF]

Open to suggestions.  Probably nothing Ingram related.  He was an obvious guy to clear that hurdle but doesn’t inspire the imagination like Al / Mailman.  Have to do some thinking.

[Spud2nique]

44 minutes ago, AHF said:

Open to suggestions.  Probably nothing Ingram related.  He was an obvious guy to clear that hurdle but doesn’t inspire the imagination like Al / Mailman.  Have to do some thinking.

Something pornographic involving Draymond? I kid I kid don’t ban the messenger.

[AHF]

On 3/23/2021 at 5:48 PM, sturt said:

see your PMs

sturt has his avatar up and accounted for.  Good man!