Nate Embracing Three Point Variance

[benhillboy]

This team is built to win, clearly.  Shooting from the field doesn’t really determine their outcome, I don’t trip off poor shooting halves or even games from any of our guys, especially Trae.  You have a miraculous season turnaround and win a series as an underdog shooting 40% worse than your opponent with excellent team-wide FT shooting, exquisite help defense, data analysts and Nate who were hell-bent on significantly shrinking the turnovers, and Trae’s passing wizardry.  And one more aspect: shout out to @NBASupes to get me to accept three point variance.  Old School Nate has clearly embraced it too.

There are simply too many dependable three point shots for the defense to cover:

Trae 30 footer and step back 

John catch and shoot from the corner (for best results, set up Baptist with Ice Trae skip pass)

Kevin open weak side or transition walk up

Bogi iso, curl screen, catch and shoot 

Hot-hand 2K Gallo from anywhere 

Lemon Pepper: see 2K Gallo, add off the dribble 

The Sixers only had 2 (!): Curry catch and shoot (arguably the most efficient shot going, but still limited variance) and Embiid in a groove after made FTs.  That’s it.  Danny Green is good in transition and from the corner but no one’s gonna act like his absence was glaring.

The Bucks are very limited as well: Middleton can hit all types assisted or not, and Lopez from the corner.  Giannis taking threes is like Clint taking em.  Not very smart.

Call me crazy but I think we have a good chance to steamroll these folks like Miami did last season.

 

Edited June 21, 2021 by benhillboy

[macdaddy]

Let's go.   We do have to hit our threes a lot better than we did against the sixers and we need a healthy Bogi.   But basically force Giannis to shoot jumpers or pass, force everyone else to drive and live with the results.  

[benhillboy]

I made an error referencing the shooting disparity between us and the Sixers (-.040 percentage points instead of 40%, still a significant margin to overcome against a talented defensive team).  It’s beyond impossible to beat a team shooting 80-something percent lol.

Edited June 21, 2021 by benhillboy

[NBASupes]

People love the Jazz and Bucks but those teams get exclusively one type of three pointer outside of Mitchell. C&S type. In the playoffs or to be an offensive superstar, you need to be able to shoot all types. We got four players who can shoot all types of variances from 3 in Kevin, Trae, Lou, and Bogi. Cam can shoot all types of variances from three but so far, not exactly good. We also got bigs that can shoot the 3 and stretch the floor out. Offense is king in the modern NBA 

You gotta have it. Defenses are too good in the playoffs. 

Edited June 22, 2021 by NBASupes

[hylndr11]

So how many more shots did we take than sixers .  

[benhillboy]

4 hours ago, hylndr11 said:

So how many more shots did we take than sixers .  

34 more threes total, almost 5 a game.  If you can shoot them pretty well that’s a major gap against teams that can’t, especially with a clear FT shooting advantage  as well.

I don’t know where the Hawks rank under Nate in terms of attempts and percentage but it’s definitely better than the full season rankings of 19th and 12th.  Philly was 26th and 10th with one of the best three point shooters alive.  The Bucks rank 8th and 5th respectively but I don’t totally buy that they’ll be nearly as efficient versus us.  Their strength of schedule was dead last.  We’re gonna invite Giannis and Jrue to take all they want.  They don’t want any of our guys getting their favorite looks.

Edited June 22, 2021 by benhillboy