Basically you are saying what the team's record should look like if they aren't unusually lucky or unlucky.   https://www.sportingcharts.com/dictionary/nba/pythagorean-record-expected-wins.aspx The most common means of predicting what a teams record should be the "Expected W/L" record.  That is a metric based on the number of points a team scores and gives up. If you follow the link I posted, you will see that the Hawks last year had a 27-55 expected record but managed to lose more t