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AHF

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AHF last won the day on March 15

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  1. I personally think he will go back to starting but agree that against bench players he has been very successful taking on a role with more scoring responsibility. He isn't taking on a drastically different role but he goes from 11 shots per 30 minutes played as a starter to 12.7 shots per 30 minutes played as a reserve. No playoff team's primary scorer is taking 13 shots a game but that is around an 18% increase in shots taken and when combined with the increase in shots made it is a real nice bump in per minute scoring. His rebounding, steals, and blocks per minute are all slightly lower and the assists slightly higher but other than blocks they are all close enough that I think you can call them unchanged. (And the blocks are a SSS issue so I wouldn't call that significant.) As such, I don't think that slight bump in shots taken and % made means he should be moved to the bench long-term in the absence of a big wing addition. But I do think it means that the coaching staff knows he can take on more scoring when he is mixed in with bench lineups. So I see him returning to starting and maybe Quin flexing the rotations to get him a few more shots along the way.
  2. There are people who are invested in the success or failure of certain players. I don't think discussion around whether Hunter is better served coming off the bench is necessarily linked to that, though. The numbers are better as a reserve in a similar number of games. I personally have him mentally penciled in back as our starting SF next season but I can at least see why some people feel he has flourished off the bench and should remain in that role.
  3. But no pick is guaranteed to be a late first unless you are talking about a heavily protected pick that may not even convey next year. I don't think any team would consider dealing without significant protections on the pick which could mean it conveys years down the road instead of in 2025.
  4. I took it as Hunter giving credit to DJM. I don't take it as him slamming Trae. DJM is a good player and seems to be a good teammate and person. There is no need to not give him credit for the good things he does.
  5. The versions of the Cavs and Knicks we faced were trash. We were actually favored in those games. Orlando is also a lottery team without Pancho. Agree Nets are around our level.
  6. I would be interested to know how many of those Grizzlies minutes are guys not being able to play and how many are the fact that they saw this was a lost season and shut people down to tank. No argument that they have had a lot of missed time. I just suspect they have also erred on the side of caution with their players (to be generous).
  7. I personally would give it to both of them but JJ has the edge if you are going with one. Others might feel differently.
  8. I have a lot less certainty around the Kings being a playoff team in the West than you do. I think the scenario you lay out is very realistic. But it is also not hard to imagine the Kings missing the playoffs with just a single injury to their team. I also think if it comes down to them being a play-in team and losing their pick or leaning into the losses and keeping their pick that they would lean into the losses ala Dallas last season. (I don't think they would do that if they are on track to be a legit playoff team.)
  9. To get an idea for how meaningfully we have improved on defense, you need to control for quality of opponents and the change in how the game has been called (leading to materially lower scoring across the league). Both clearly have had significant effects in lowering the points we give up per game during that limited sample set. But I think there is some legit improvement there as well which emphasizes to me how DJM and Trae don't fit very well. With DJM at PG, the defense is upgraded at that position. With DJM not at SG, the defense is upgraded at that position. Two for one improvement. I expect the defense will suffer some if Trae goes back to starting and DJM is beside him. They are collectively too small to be really effective together on the defensive side of the ball. (And they haven't meshed on offense to boot. They aren't terrible together on offense but are two good offensive players sharing the ball instead of being two players who make one another better.)
  10. Guys putting up bigger numbers in bigger minutes is classic MIP fodder so he should totally get credit for that when they consider the award. For me, though, I like to see more than just ramping up minutes. And we see that in several areas for JJ, including some reflected in his per36 numbers: His scoring efficiency is improved across the board with higher volumes. That is fantastic to see both the big upticks in 3pt% and FT%. His passing has come to be an increasingly important part of the offense. What doesn't show up in counting stats is a big improvement on the defensive side of the ball (plenty more to go there but how many 22 year olds are finished products as defenders?). They won't give this to JJ because he plays in Atlanta but he should be at or near the top of the list.
  11. Hunter's only problem this year has been health. This is his career best season by a long shot.
  12. I remember being of the phone with my brother during that lottery. When we got the *2 pick, I told my brother “ok, we get Chris Paul.” Then draft madness took over. You are right that sometimes people over complicate things to their detriment.
  13. I think CC has a case for last night too. Best he has played in a minute and really impactful. When our best performances come from the frontcourt that is really refreshing.
  14. Great win by the Hawks! Kicked LA in the teeth and those guys never recovered. Made them look really washed. .You can’t compare the offense or defense to full season numbers given the changes in how the game is called post-ASB. The offense is probably not nearly as bad as the full season comparison would suggest. Scoring is down across the league post-ASB. Better to compare it against post-ASB numbers if possible.
  15. I don’t think anyone is trading a 2025 for a 2024 20-something pick.
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