Jump to content

REHawksFan

Squawkers
  • Posts

    3,785
  • Joined

  • Last visited

Everything posted by REHawksFan

  1. LOL You are completely ridiculous. Don't put words in my mouth in your quest to justify your own decisions. You apparently view your fandom as a transaction that exists only as long as it provides you with a return in the form of hope for success. I disagree with that viewpoint but I don't care that you hold it. I am mildly intrigued by the notion that others hold the same transactional view. I simply don't believe others think like that. At least not thise that would identify as fans of a team. Maybe others do though. Regardless, I answered your question honestly. I'd appreciate it if you refrained from mischaracterizing my viewpoint.
  2. Still have Jalen who can handle the ball. And I think Kobe can be the backup pg. Do the Hawks have any ability to sign FAs? I'm assuming with their cap they can't sign anyone. Is that correct?
  3. Like I said, I don't disagree with you (unless I'm misunderstanding what you are saying). I'm just saying I don't think Landry coming out and claiming that the two guys can work together will fool anyone. At least not to the point where it would outweigh a bidding war with multiple teams.
  4. I agree with you in principle, but it sure seems like that ship has sailed. Everyone around the league knows it doesn't work. They have eyes just like the rest of us. I think the best we can all hope for is that the Hawks FO can convince teams that there are multiple teams interested in them and maybe that they are crazy enough to run it back if they don't get offers they like, although I'm not sure anyone would believe them.
  5. Yeah....there's a MASSIVE difference between wanting to be traded and being a malcontent. Massive difference.
  6. As always, I'd rather be me than you. I'd rather loved and lost than never loved at all. I don't consider my time invested as being wasted just because the team wasn't a success. I can't imagine a more hollow way to go about being a fan. Of course, I also can't imagine walking away from a team I've loved since childhood, whether I agree or disagree with the organization. I was born in Atlanta and raised as a fan of all Atlanta sports. What made the 60 win Hawks so much fun and then later the ECF Hawks so much fun was the experience of suffering through all the heartache and disappointment of bad ownership, terrible GMs, poor decisions, and just underachieving teams for years on end. I was born and bred a Georgia Bulldog. I suffered through 40 years of nothing (ranging from down right terrible to close but never enough) and then finally got to see my school win a title. And then another. The heartache makes the payoff so much better. So again, I have no interest in being a person that walks away from a team I love during the bad times. Which means clearly I'd rather be me than you.
  7. Would also be the most Hawks thing ever.... Winning the lottery in the weakest top of the draft in 20 years. LOL
  8. I think we gotta come to terms with the fact that ya boy Bruno ain't good enough for regular rotation minutes. Also, with who we had available, what is your answer to White? We don't have one. We desperately need an upgrade in the frontcourt. Desperately.
  9. Welp. F it. I guess our summer starts early. This sucks. I hate injuries. I hate roster construction. I hate Colby White.
  10. That was stupid. And then no one gets back. I swear this team would be so much better if they just played smart and gave effort 100% of the time instead of doing stupid shit all the time.
  11. Well that's a factual statement. Trae play like shit in the 1st. Played better in the 2nd. Steven A also said he expects more from Trae because he knows how good he is. Unlike a lot of our "fans". As Richard Jefferson said, "The Hawks are going to need Trae's playmaking and scoring if they are going to win."
  12. Literally doesn't matter what else happens in the game. All Traes fault to these yahoos.
  13. And what kind of lineup is Trae Bogi Mo Bruno Garrison That just screams we want the lottery
  14. Need to withstand the early energy. As always, Hawks gotta hit their open shots.
  15. Certainly seems like BI is on the outs
  16. I screwed it up Jay, but I was trying to post this .gif. Sigh
  17. https://giphy.com/gifs/mtv-captain-america-chris-evans-gif-10JhviFuU2gWD6 Umm......no.
  18. Just imagine if Memphis or Toronto convince the Hawks they gonna take him at 7 or 8. Woo boy. We goin tradin baby!! LOL
  19. I didn't see the official announcement. Is JJ out for the season or just a couple of weeks? Curious if he could be back for the actual playoffs or if he's officially done.
  20. I think anyone that believes we do not need an upgrade at the Center position is fooling themselves. Maybe that Edey. Maybe that Clingan. Maybe that's an existing NBA player. I don't know, but I do know that Clint was way too inconsistent this year. And with the current construction of the team, we need our center, whomever they are, to be consistently really good. According to NBA.com's Player Impact Estimate (not perfect but best I got), Clint ranks 34th among NBA Centers in impact for the year. Bruno ranks 69th and OO ranks 71st. To be blunt, that sucks out loud for your Center rotation for the year.
  21. I've mentioned pace and its impact on the Hawks in other posts but I've never seen a topic specifically addressing this, so I figured I'd start one on the day before the potential last day of the season. Now that the regular season has concluded, I looked at the league wide data to see what the trends were regarding pace. See chart below. For your viewing pleasure, I've color coded the chart, breaking the NBA into 3 tiers - Top 10 Pace (green means go), Bottom 10 pace (red is for slow), and the Middle 10 pace. At the bottom are the averages. The Top 10 teams are all at Pace: 100+ level while the bottom 10 are all Pace: <98. The Middle 10 are basically Pace: 98-100 with Bos and LAC the exceptions at 97.98 and 97.93. Interestingly, the Top 10 has 6 Playoff / Playin teams, the Middle 10 has 7, and the Bottom 10 has 7. So it seems pretty evenly dispersed. However... Wins: Top10: 36.8 Mid10: 44.5 Bot10: 41.7 Rating: Top10: ORtg: 114.8 / DRtg: 116.4 / NetRtg: -1.6 Mid10: ORtg: 115.5 / DRtg: 113.7 / NetRtg: +1.8 Bot10: ORtg: 113.3 / DRtg: 113.4 / NetRtg: -0.1 So league wide, there seems to be a sweet spot in pace that is between 98 and 99 possessions per 48 minutes. That's where teams have the best success offensively and defensively. But what about the Hawks? Well... The Hawks went 36-46 this year. They suffered numerous injuries, played with countless lineups, and featured some 6-8 G-League level players in their normal rotations throughout the year. And yet, there's still some Pace Trend data that seems somewhat insightful (to me anyway). The Hawks average pace this year was 100.84 which ranked 6th in the NBA as shown above. I have often asserted that the Hawks are at their best when they slow down and play with less pace. I think it helps them be more efficient offensively and play better defense. Simply put, my contention is that the Hawks playing fast is generally a disaster in terms of TOs and poor defense. But I haven't ever studied it to see if that assertion was correct. So here goes: I looked at the 82 game schedule to see what, if any, trends emerged around their pace of play. I sorted the entire season by Pace and then looked at win/loss record, ORtg, DRtg, TS%, AST%, and REB%. I separated the season into 3 main categories by Pace: Pace: 100+, Pace: 98-99, and Pace: 98 or less. Then, I also considered one subcategory which is explained below. The chart below summarizes what I found. As shown above, the Hawks went 18-22 with a -3.5 Net Rating in 40 games where they played at a pace of 100 or greater. This accounts for 50% of their wins and nearly 50% of their games. Interestingly, of the 18 wins, only 3 were against playoff teams and another 3 against playin teams. So 6 of 18 wins in this group are quality teams. In the Middle Pace group, the Hawks only played 10 games with a pace between 98 and 100. They went 2-8 with a net rating of -6.9. Ugly. Not much else to say. The offense dipped while the defense got worse. The competition was tough, however, as 7 of the 10 games were against playoff / playin teams. Finally, in the Bottom Pace tier (Pace: Less than 98), the Hawks played 32 games and went 16-16 with a Net Rating of +1.2. This was BY FAR their best showing and is all the more impressive when you consider that 23 of the 32 games are against playoff / playin teams. So, in general, the Hawks do better when they play slower. But you may notice the light blue line above. I noticed in the data that the Hawks do particularly well when they play at Pace: 95 or less. In fact, they played 19 such games all season (nearly 25% of the season) and went a remarkable 12-7 with a net rating of +5.3. Their offensive rating would rank Top 5 in the NBA while their DRating would be Top 15. Simply put, this was their absolute BEST play of the year, despite injuries and roster issues. And more amazingly, of the 12 wins, 10 (TEN!!) came against playoff or playin teams. And before anyone asks, yes, Trae played in several of these 19 games. The last thing I'll say is this. I mentioned that I also looked at TS%, TO%, REB%, and AST% at various pace levels. The chart for that is below. It doesn't show a huge difference between pace levels for most of these stats. Final Final thing I'll say....I'm not suggesting the Hawks commit to playing at a slow, less than 95 pace every game. It's more that I think slowing down in general will cover up a lot of their defensive issues (which are exacerbated by playing ultra fast) and will likely lead to better offensive opportunities. I think we see this in the League-Wide data and in the Hawks specific data. As with everything, there's probably a happy middle ground they need to find which is not too slow and not too fast, but I tend to the believe that are is going to be much less than 100 poss / 48 minutes. Anyone else have thoughts on Pace and the Hawks?
×
×
  • Create New...