So, let's look at this draft in tiers. By tiers, I mean who is likely not going to be available, who could be available, and who is likely going to be available.
Who won't be there:
Alexander Sarr
Zaccharie Rissacher
Reed Sheppard
I think these are the three that there is absolutely no chance they make it to 10. They are also potentially the three guys to choose from if that 14% chance of getting into the top 4 picks cashes in.
Who could be there but likely won't be there:
Donovan Clingan
Matas Buzelis
Nikola Topic
Rob Dillingham
I think there is a slim chance one of these could drop to the 10th pick. Clingan is the most unlikely, and I almost considered him in the first group. I'm not convinced on Clingan yet, but I can see the upside. I could also potentially see the Hawks take him #1 overall if they were to land that pick.
One of these players will likely be there at 10:
Cody Williams
Ron Holland
Stephon Castle
Dalton Knecht
Jakobe Walter
My guess is, this is the group that Atlanta will ultimately choose from with the 10th pick. My favorite of this group is Castle, but many will turn their noses up at drafting a guy who projects as a guard even though he can defend on the wing. Dalton Knecht offers the most potential immediate impact, but there are enough defensive question marks for me to wonder how he will fit.