bleachkit

Sorry to hear that. Are they doing anything to mitigate the spread in the Philippines? In some countries, like Brazil for example, they aren't altering behavior at all.

Confirmed cases are hard to say because that depends on testing. As I already stated, millions likely already have it or have been exposed to it. Deaths are the key number because most people (not all) gravely ill are hospitalized and tested if they are having severe flu like or respiratory symptoms. In two weeks probably 5k to 10K. My guess is it'll likely fizzle out over the summer and then possibly return in the late fall.

Well your number of 0.8% is under 1%. I think that could be on the high side. But it is a certainty that millions will get Covid-19. In 2009, 60,000,000 people in the US were infected with H1N1 according to the CDC, just to show how quickly and far a virus it can spread.

The economic model is not the deciding factor, per se. But rather the quality of care and availability of resources, be it private or public.

Why would the fatality rate probably be higher? The fatality is probably lower. Millions of asymptomatic cases unaccounted for would put the fatality rate below 1%. What is the case for it probably being higher?

Professions seem to be in agreement about the seriousness of it and the ways to mitigate it's spread. Statistical projections are all over the place though, there is no consensus there.

Abbott laboratories now has a 5 to 15 minute test that uses an accurate molecular testing method, as opposed to less reliable antibody testing. https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2020-03-27/abbott-launches-5-minute-covid-19-test-for-use-almost-anywhere

Age is a huge factor in fatalities. Younger and middle aged adults people are getting sick and requiring hospitalizations, but as far deaths, the elderly or older with chronic ailment (COPD, heart disease, etc) still represent the lions share of the deaths. https://www.cdc.gov/mmwr/volumes/69/wr/mm6912e2.htm#F1_down One thing to be thankful for is Covid-19 has not been a serious threat to children for the most part. Of course there will be rare exceptions, but as far children dying, very, very few children have become gravely ill.

Some deaths might fall through the cracks, but for the most part those that are gravely ill with Covid-19 and ultimately die will be accounted for, whereas the millions of asymptomatic Covid-19 infections will not be. Long story short, the actual fatality is under 1%. Even Dr. Fauci has acknowledged the actual rate is likely less than 1%. An Oxford study suggested it might be as low as .1% when all is said and done. I'm not saying it's not serious, I'm not saying it's not deadly. But those are that saying the fatality rate is 3 to 5% are way off base.

Italy has a large elderly population, many of whom were long time smokers. That might be one factor why it's been so deadly there. Germany has had very few Covid-19 deaths. The disparities are curious.

Nothing you have posted is refuting my claim. I said the fatality rate is less than 1%. Taking the number of confirmed cases and dividing it by the number of deaths would give you the highest rate possible, as nearly all deaths will be reported, but countless asymptomatic cases are not counted. How is that even debatable? So let's do the math here. The number of confirmed cases by the latest number is 104,205. The number is deaths is 1,702. Rate=1.63%. So without including asymptomatic cases our rate is only 1.63% Do you really think only a 100,000 or so people in the US have Covid-19? 100,000 people is only .03% of the US. That is an extremely small number. Viruses spread incredibly quickly, H1N1 infected 60,000,000 in the US in 2009. Do you really think it's plausible that a virus that has only infected 3 hundredths of 1% of people in the US would have somehow also have infected Donovan Mitchell, Rudy Gobert, Kevin Durant, Doris Burke, Sean Payton, Andy Cohen, Rand Paul, Idris Elba, Rep. Mario Diaz-Balart and Rep. Ben McAdams? It stands to reason that if all 350,000,000 Americans were tested for Covid-19, that millions would test positive. If you don't understand that basic logic, I don't know what to tell you.

That's my opinion based on the evidence I provided. I would wager any amount of money the actual fatality rate is <1%. It stands to reason there are actually millions of people who have been exposed to Covid-19.

Covid-19 is very contagious but reports of 3 or 4% fatality rate are completely false. The actually fatality rate is well below 1%. Confirmed cases are either because youre well connected like NBA players, coaches, media members for example, or you had symptoms significant enough to seek medical care, which confirmed you have Covid-19. In all likelihood, there are millions of asymptomatic or very mild cases, like the NBA players and coaches, which will go unrecorded or unnoticed among the general population. So while Covid-19 should be taken seriously, those scary fatality rates that have been reported are not accurate.

That's the best idea. Test everyone and play with no fans.

Owners will likely have to eat most of the loss. If player salaries are adjusted drastically they will probably strike. Just cant see players taking less money no matter what the situation is.

Usually we have a heated, active draft thread. Kinda quiet this year. With play suspended, may as well get the draft discussion rolling.

The Dedmon trade was a stinker. I'd rather have saved that money for free agency.

We are saying all these things in retrospect. Shaq was not Shaq yet, he was a young college big that was already dominant in some ways, but still struggled with certain fundamentals of the game. That roster spot was for the best college player, and that player in 1992 was Christian Laettner. As for Nique and Mullin, it was about fit. Nique might be the player in a vacuum, but with MJ and other great scorers on the team, they wanted more shooting and ball handling, which played to Mullin's strengths. Accusations of racism are unfounded and are based on comparing retrospective careers after the fact, not what actually occurred at the time.

He's saying "guys", but my guess is he's probably talking about certain players, namely Trae. When a guy is taking that many shots and you're getting blown out every night, you know that might rub some teammates the wrong way. Hey, this year has been rough. It is what it is. I appreciate his candor. We aren't winning games, we aren't playing good team ball. Hopefully we can turn things around.

Training wheels need to come off. If next year this team isn't playing .500 or better changes need to be made. We suffered an abnormal number of inexplicable blow outs this year. Players and coaches need to know that can't happen next year.

If NBA players are testing positive, in all actuality millions of people will probably test positive. Many young, healthy people are completely asymptomatic.

Putting the entire Western world in prolonged quarantine, thus causing countless industries and small and medium sized businesses to go under leading to an economic collapse might end up causing more death and suffering than the virus itself.

Here's a prediction. We get blown out in our first game back from the long layover. Mike Conti, Bob Rathbun, etc., cite the long layover as reason for our poor play, making no mention the other team also had the same long layover. In addition, Capela will still not be available.

I'm more inclined to blame the players.

They'll be Ok. Once the weather warms up there's a good chance the whole thing will die down of it's own accord. As for the finishing the season, I don't know what they're going to do.