Hawksquawk Stat Prediction Thread

[PureGreatness]

Joe Johnson- 23.6 ppg 5.2 apg 5.8 rpg

Josh Smith 18.9 ppg 3.3 apg 8.7 rpg 2.6 bpg

Marvin Williams 16.5 1.1 apg 5.9 rpg

Al Horford 14.2 ppg 2.1 apg 11.4 rpg

Mike Bibby 13.7 ppg 7.3 apg 4.2 rpg

Mo Evans 11.2 ppg 0.8 apg 3.2 rpg

Flip Murray 11.6 ppg 0.2 apg 2.1 rpg

ZaZa Pachulia 9.5 ppg 1.2 apg 6.1 rpg

Hawks go 44-38 6th in east

Hawks will average 98.7 ppg

[TruJerz]

Bibby- 13 points, 8 assist

Johnson- 22 points, 6 rebounds, 4 assist(all star)

Marvin Williams- 14 points, 6 rebounds

Josh Smith- 17 points, 9 rebounds, 2 blocks(all star)

Horford- 12 points, 10 rebounds, 1 block

Law- 5 points, 4 assist

Flip Murray-9 points, 2 assist

Mo Evans- 8 points, 3 rebounds

Zaza- 7 points, 6 rebounds

7th seed in the East

Edited October 20, 2008 by r3drumNYNJ

[TruJerz]

Joe Johnson- 23.6 ppg 5.2 apg 5.8 rpg

Josh Smith 18.9 ppg 3.3 apg 8.7 rpg 2.6 bpg

Marvin Williams 16.5 1.1 apg 5.9 rpg

Al Horford 14.2 ppg 2.1 apg 11.4 rpg

Mike Bibby 13.7 ppg 7.3 apg 4.2 rpg

Mo Evans 11.2 ppg 0.8 apg 3.2 rpg

Flip Murray 11.6 ppg 0.2 apg 2.1 rpg

ZaZa Pachulia 9.5 ppg 1.2 apg 6.1 rpg

Hawks go 44-38 6th in east

Hawks will average 98.7 ppg

u say Hawks will avg 98.7 points but your totals are around 115 ppg..just saying. I think Hawks will avg around 105ish, hopefully..they can do it tho

[bronnt]

Eh, what the Hell.

Johnson: 39.8 Mpg, 22.3 points, 6.1 assists, 4.1 rebounds, 2.4 Turnovers, 1.2 steals, 45.4% FG, 81.0% FT.

Smith: 35.4 minutes, 19.4 points, 9.2 boards, 3.4 assists, 2.8 turnovers, 1.8 steals, 2.7 blocks, 46.8% FG, 73% FT.

Williams: 32.1 minutes, 15.6 points, 5.6 boards, 1.9 assists, 1.5 turnovers, 1.1 steals, 0.8 blocks, 44.8% FG, 82.3% FT

Horford: 34.7 minutes, 11.8 points, 10.9 rebounds, 2.3 assists (let the man show his worth passing), 1.4 turnovers, 1.1 steals, 1.3 blocks, 49.2% FG, 76.6% FT

Bibby: 28.1 minutes, 11.9 points, 2.5 rebounds, 5.1 assists, 2.5 turnovers, 0.8 steals, 0 blocks, 42.3 % FG, 79.0% FT

Zaza: 18.4 minutes, 8.2 points, 6.0 boards, 0.9 assists, 1.2 turnovers, 0.4 steals, 0.7 blocks, 47% FG, 79.3 % FT

Murray: 19.0 minutes, 9.3 points, 1.5 boards, 2.6 assists, 2.0 turnovers, 0.7 steals, 0.2 blocks, 41.0 % FG, 73.4 % FT

Evans: 14.3 minutes, 7.2 points, 2.9 boards, 1.0 assists, 0.4 turnovers, 0.4 steals, 0 blocks, 45.4 FG%, 77.6 FT%

Law: 20.2 minutes, 9.5 points, 1.9 boards, 3.5 assists, 1.9 turnovers, 0.8 steals, 0.2 blocks, 44.2 FG%, 78.9 FT%

Hawks finish 40-42, 8th in East.

Explanation:

I know my minutes projections are a bit heavy, but that basically comes down the expectation that not everyone is going to play 82 games. In fact, I imagine Bibby will miss at least 5-8 games for various reasons, and his expiring contract might even be dealt before the deadline for some prospects. Flip Murray might also fail the see the floor in certain games. As a result, there's more minutes available at PG, bumping everyone's average up slightly.

Also, Marvin might feels his minutes pinched a bit this year because of Pachulia getting on the floor more with Horford, bumping Smith down into his spot, and also because of Flip playing at the SG with JJ playing SF a bit, also bumping Marvin to the bench. Despite this, I think he'll actually increase his scoring a bit and play much more efficiently overall.

[DrReality]

Check this out on the Hawk's page, has interesting stats and notes on each player.

http://www.nba.com/hawks/news/notes.pdf

[frosgrim]

These are so hard to do, but assuming health and set rotations

JJ- 21.5 ppg 4.5 ast 4 rb

Smith- 18/2/8.9

MW 15.5/2.9/5.5 (scoring not up much, but effectiveness is)

Horf 9.5/1/10.8 (can't see him getting enough touches to increase scoring

Bibs 10/7/1 (w/ others scoring he doesn't have to)

Murray 8/2.9/0.5 (primary scorer off bench)

Evans 6/1/1

Z 7.5/.5/6.5

Acie 5.5/3.2/.8

Hawks 101 ppg/25/38.2

W/L 41/41

[pimp]

Josh Smith- 17 points, 9 rebounds, 2 blocks(all star)

I can;t see Josh Smith making the allstar team with those stats.( the same as last years stats)

He will have to do better that that to be an allstar.

Lebron James and Kg will be voted as starters.

The coaches would likely pick Bosh and Pierce as backups.

Also , Josh would also have to beat out Caron Butler and Elton Brand

[atlien]

u say Hawks will avg 98.7 points but your totals are around 115 ppg..just saying. I think Hawks will avg around 105ish, hopefully..they can do it tho

Players PPG always add up to more than the team average, due to injuries and PT consideration.

[TruJerz]

Players PPG always add up to more than the team average, due to injuries and PT consideration.

yea true..i realised that after I commented on it lol thanx tho

[bronnt]

Players PPG always add up to more than the team average, due to injuries and PT consideration.

The thing about your projections is that the Hawks averaged 98 points per game last year, yet you're predicting scoring increases from pretty much everyone, and considerable increases from Horford (about 4) and JJ (about 2).

Your only drop-offs are Bibby losing .4 points and sixth man Mo Evans averaging .6 less than Chillz. Unless you're predicting a lot of those guys to miss several games, your player predictions indicate a sharp increase in team scoring average.

I certainly am not implying that this team can't score more points than they did last year-after they got Bibby, their scoring averages shot up, so it's nearly a given that total points will, in fact, rise considerably.

[Watchman]

Players PPG always add up to more than the team average, due to injuries and PT consideration.

In order for the PPG to add up to 119 but the team only average 98 PPG means there would have to be a lot of injuries, including key players.

[Watchman]

Player...................Min...Pts.Reb..Ast

Marvin Williams.....33....16....5....2

Josh Smith............34....17....7....3

Al Horford.............32....12...10...2

Mike Bibby............29....11....2....5

Joe Johnson.........36....19....4....5

Maurice Evans......21.....8.....2....1

Flip Murray...........17.....7......1...1

Zaza Pachulia......16.....6......4...1

Acie Law..............18.....8......2...3

Solomon Jones......4.....1......1...0