Dennis as our starter (stats)

[Lurker]

He is not free of issue but if he can tighten up consistency with his shot and still have a secondary playmaker alongside him, I can see him putting up this next year (NOT per 36):

20 PTS/6.5 AST/2 REB/1.5 STL (3.3 TO) on 47% FG/36.5% 3PT/85% FT.

[Guest]

4 minutes ago, Lurker said:

He is not free of issue but if he can tighten up consistency with his shot and still have a secondary playmaker alongside him, I can see him putting up this next year (NOT per 36):

20 PTS/6.5 AST/2 REB/1.5 STL (3.3 TO) on 47% FG/36.5% 3PT/85% FT.

No this post was a prediction of this past year's stats. The original post is from about a year ago.

[Guest]

My guess with Dennis's nbrs in bold:

29.5  mpg (He'll be just shy of 30 mpg depending on our backups) 31.5 (if we had a decent backup he prolly would have played less)

16.2 ppg 17.9

7.1 apg 6.3

3.7 rpg 3.1

2.2 spg 0.9 (this is dissapointing)

46% FG 45% (close)

85% FT  (He needs to improve this) 85.5 (nailed it)

34% 3pt  34% (nailed it)

2.7  turnovers  (He'll be playing with better players so hopefully they'll be ready for his passes - he needs to fix that bounce pass at the knees) 3.3 (he had some really bad high turn over games).

 

[Lurker]

3 minutes ago, Spud2Nique said:

No this post was a prediction of this past year's stats. The original post is from about a year ago.

I know, I was just guessing for next year.

[thecampster]

On 8/11/2016 at 10:40 PM, thecampster said:

Dennis played 20:15 mpg last season. Move him up to 31 (50% more) minutes per game and just multiplying his stats by 1.5...you get 

16.5 PPG

6.6 APG

3.9 RPG

1.4 steals

3.45 t/o

I think any Hawks fan would be okay with that....I'll actually say 17/7/3 with 3 t/o

He Finished 17.9, 6.3, 3.1, .9, 3.3.  Pretty close.

[thecampster]

14 minutes ago, Lurker said:

He is not free of issue but if he can tighten up consistency with his shot and still have a secondary playmaker alongside him, I can see him putting up this next year (NOT per 36):

20 PTS/6.5 AST/2 REB/1.5 STL (3.3 TO) on 47% FG/36.5% 3PT/85% FT.

I'd be a whole lot happier to see the points stay the same and the Assists to go up to 8+.  That would make my day.

[AHF]

On 6/28/2016 at 3:47 PM, AHF said:

16 points 

6.5 assists

4 rebounds

1.5 steals

3 turnovers

42.5% fg%

34% 3pt%

 

That is my prediction (such as it is) but I am hoping for better and at his age I think that is very realistic.

Wasn't too far off on raw numbers or %s.

[Guest]

37 minutes ago, JayBirdHawk said:

My guess with Dennis's nbrs in bold:

29.5  mpg (He'll be just shy of 30 mpg depending on our backups) 31.5 (if we had a decent backup he prolly would have played less)

16.2 ppg 17.9

7.1 apg 6.3

3.7 rpg 3.1

2.2 spg 0.9 (this is dissapointing)

46% FG 45% (close)

85% FT  (He needs to improve this) 85.5 (nailed it)

34% 3pt  34% (nailed it)

2.7  turnovers  (He'll be playing with better players so hopefully they'll be ready for his passes - he needs to fix that bounce pass at the knees) 3.3 (he had some really bad high turn over games).

 

 

I beat you...;-) I think...TO THE CALCULATION MOBILE!!!!

 

It was close...6-4 me in categories ..you nailed FT and 3pt%...I nailed FG only...

 

Not completely sure but I think we might be the closest and AHF as well...gotta look over everyone's posts again though. 

 

These are fun to look at after the season.

[Guest]

41 minutes ago, JayBirdHawk said:

My guess with Dennis's nbrs in bold:

29.5  mpg (He'll be just shy of 30 mpg depending on our backups) 31.5 (if we had a decent backup he prolly would have played less)

16.2 ppg 17.9

7.1 apg 6.3

3.7 rpg 3.1

2.2 spg 0.9 (this is dissapointing)

46% FG 45% (close)

85% FT  (He needs to improve this) 85.5 (nailed it)

34% 3pt  34% (nailed it)

2.7  turnovers  (He'll be playing with better players so hopefully they'll be ready for his passes - he needs to fix that bounce pass at the knees) 3.3 (he had some really bad high turn over games).

 

 

Actually you beat me by 0.9 after comparing our predictions to the real numbers, however you did not put a stat for blocks...my prediction 0.3....actual was 0.2. 

 

 

[ATLSmith]

How did I miss out on a good prediction thread? No matter, I would have won anyway.

 

Sent from my SM-G920P using Tapatalk

 

 

[macdaddy]

10 hours ago, JayBirdHawk said:

My guess with Dennis's nbrs in bold:

29.5  mpg (He'll be just shy of 30 mpg depending on our backups) 31.5 (if we had a decent backup he prolly would have played less)

16.2 ppg 17.9

7.1 apg 6.3

3.7 rpg 3.1

2.2 spg 0.9 (this is dissapointing)

46% FG 45% (close)

85% FT  (He needs to improve this) 85.5 (nailed it)

34% 3pt  34% (nailed it)

2.7  turnovers  (He'll be playing with better players so hopefully they'll be ready for his passes - he needs to fix that bounce pass at the knees) 3.3 (he had some really bad high turn over games).

 

 

Very close.  Although 2.2 spg would have led the league by a wide margin.   So i think you set yourself up to fail on that one.  

Get some guys who can knock down a 3 in here and that apg will go up.

[AHF]

10 hours ago, Spud2Nique said:

Actually you beat me by 0.9 after comparing our predictions to the real numbers, however you did not put a stat for blocks...my prediction 0.3....actual was 0.2. 

 

 

What methodology did you use for the 0.9 difference?  Adding up the raw numbers like 31.5 - 29.5 = 2 + 17.9 - 16.2 = 1.5 thus total of 3.5 and compared to my 4.4 difference that is 0.9?

[Guest]

1 hour ago, AHF said:

What methodology did you use for the 0.9 difference?  Adding up the raw numbers like 31.5 - 29.5 = 2 + 17.9 - 16.2 = 1.5 thus total of 3.5 and compared to my 4.4 difference that is 0.9?

I feel like a building is about to drop on me sooooo....noooo...?

 

 

Yes, that's my magical math. Basically I said ..

 

Dennis points :

actual: 17.9 ppg

spud's prediction: 17.3

Jaybird's prediction: 16.2

AHF's prediction: 16.0

 

Dennis assists:

actual: 6.3

spud's prediction: 7.7

jaybird's prediction: 7.1

AHF's prediction: 6.5

 

Spud :points (17.9-17.3=.6)+assists (7.7-6.3=1.4) Add the two results (.6+1.4=2.0)

My score after two categories is +2.0

 

Jaybird: points (17.9-16.2=1.7)+ assists (7.1-6.3=.8) Add the two results (1.7+.8=2.5)

 

Jaybird's score after two categories is +2.5

 

AHF: points(17.9-16.0=1.9)+ assists (6.5-6.3=.2) Add the two results (1.9+.2=2.1)

 

AHF's score after two categories is

+2.1

 

After two categories (points and assists)

Spud +2.0

Jaybird +2.5

AHF +2.1

 

Subract our differentials and I'm up by .5 on Jaybird and .1 on you after two categories. I basically did this with all the categories and that's how I came up with the #'s. I know it's prolly not the best system but it was all I could come up with? 

 

How would you do it @AHF?

 

Also, note that it's harder to calculate when people skip categories. Like you and Jaybird both decided to skip the BLOCKS category. That's when the numbers get screwed. So the final results aren't really completely clean ....I could skip that category altogether but it kind of screws and penalizes me because my prediction on blocks was 0.3 and the actual was 0.2 so it might have helped me a bit. But still not enough to beat Bird as I'm sure she probably wouldn't have put Dennis above 1.0 block in which case she prolly would won by 0.1-0.7 anyways.

 

In conclusion @AHF HELP A BROTHER OUT!!!! :-)

 

 

[Guest]

3 hours ago, ATLSmith said:

How did I miss out on a good prediction thread? No matter, I would have won anyway.

 

Sent from my SM-G920P using Tapatalk

 

 

You guys never participate in any of my threads damnit!  Hahaha 

[AHF]

Sounds good to me, @Spud2Nique.  Since she is the frontrunner, comparing to Jaybird:

Dennis points:

actual: 17.9 ppg

Jaybird's prediction: 16.2  (1.7 off - total 1.7)

AHF's prediction: 16.0 (1.9 off - total 1.9)

Dennis assists:

actual: 6.3

jaybird's prediction: 7.1 (0.8 off - total 2.5)

AHF's prediction: 6.5 (0.2 off - total 2.1)

Dennis rebounds:

actual: 3.1

jaybird's prediction: 3.7 (0.6 off - total 3.1)

AHF's prediction: 4.0 (0.9 off - total 3.0)

Dennis steals:

actual: 0.9

jaybird's prediction: 2.2 (1.2 off - total 4.3)

AHF's prediction: 1.5 (0.6 off - total 3.6)

Dennis turnovers:

actual: 3.3

jaybird's prediction: 2.7 (0.6 off - total 4.9)

AHF's prediction: 3.0 (0.3 off - total 3.9)

[Guest]

9 minutes ago, AHF said:

Sounds good to me, @Spud2Nique.  Since she is the frontrunner, comparing to Jaybird:

Dennis points:

actual: 17.9 ppg

Jaybird's prediction: 16.2  (1.7 off - total 1.7)

AHF's prediction: 16.0 (1.9 off - total 1.9)

Dennis assists:

actual: 6.3

jaybird's prediction: 7.1 (0.8 off - total 2.5)

AHF's prediction: 6.5 (0.2 off - total 2.1)

Dennis rebounds:

actual: 3.1

jaybird's prediction: 3.7 (0.6 off - total 3.1)

AHF's prediction: 4.0 (0.9 off - total 3.0)

Dennis steals:

actual: 0.9

jaybird's prediction: 2.2 (1.2 off - total 4.3)

AHF's prediction: 1.5 (0.6 off - total 3.6)

Dennis turnovers:

actual: 3.3

jaybird's prediction: 2.7 (0.6 off - total 4.9)

AHF's prediction: 3.0 (0.3 off - total 3.9)

So....did ya beat her? Haha

[Guest]

Isn't there a better tool to crunch the numbers though @AHF...I feel like this is a very rough way of doing it but I can't figure many other point systems....where the hell are all the nerds of squawk? Lol. Not naming any names...

[Guest]

14 minutes ago, AHF said:

Sounds good to me, @Spud2Nique.  Since she is the frontrunner, comparing to Jaybird:

Dennis points:

actual: 17.9 ppg

Jaybird's prediction: 16.2  (1.7 off - total 1.7)

AHF's prediction: 16.0 (1.9 off - total 1.9)

Dennis assists:

actual: 6.3

jaybird's prediction: 7.1 (0.8 off - total 2.5)

AHF's prediction: 6.5 (0.2 off - total 2.1)

Dennis rebounds:

actual: 3.1

jaybird's prediction: 3.7 (0.6 off - total 3.1)

AHF's prediction: 4.0 (0.9 off - total 3.0)

Dennis steals:

actual: 0.9

jaybird's prediction: 2.2 (1.2 off - total 4.3)

AHF's prediction: 1.5 (0.6 off - total 3.6)

Dennis turnovers:

actual: 3.3

jaybird's prediction: 2.7 (0.6 off - total 4.9)

AHF's prediction: 3.0 (0.3 off - total 3.9)

You won by 1.0! :-)

 

I don't know if you watched the show friends @AHF but my system reminds me of the game "cups"  that Chandler came up with to help Joey with money. LOL. I think @JayBirdHawk has seen that episode for sure.

[Guest]

 

[Guest]

@Spud2Nique I wanted to see what Dennis' playoffs numbers looked liked (in RED)

 

29.5  mpg (He'll be just shy of 30 mpg depending on our backups) 31.5 (if we had a decent backup he prolly would have played less) 35.2

16.2 ppg 17.9 24.7

7.1 apg 6.3 7.7

3.7 rpg 3.1 2.3

2.2 spg 0.9 (this is dissapointing) 1

46% FG 45% (close) 45

85% FT  (He needs to improve this) 85.5 (nailed it) 83

34% 3pt  34% (nailed it) 42 (didn't see that coming)

2.7  turnovers  (He'll be playing with better players so hopefully they'll be ready for his passes - he needs to fix that bounce pass at the knees) 3.3 (he had some really bad high turn over games). 1.7 (this was impressive considering how bad he was in regular season)

This is what you want - to see guys step up and play better in the playoffs.  Be better than in the regular season.